Oh, is this thing still on?

Some day I may resuscitate this blog, although writing it has long ago passed into the range of diminishing marginal utility.

For now, I am sweating my tuchus off in Manila, Pearl of the Orient. I am summering at the Asian Development Bank in their Office of Regional Economic Integration. I am developing a pilot study to explore updating the bank's early warning system for predicting financial crises to model more directly the endogeneity between financial soundness indicators and the macroeconomic environment (sometimes called macroprudential analysis or surveillance).